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Economy
Roubini: For unemployment "the worst is yet to come"
Nouriel Roubini, writing in the New York Daily News , said on Sunday that “unemployed Americans should hunker down for more job losses” given the likelihood of a job less recovery. This was as gloomy a piece as I have seen from Roubini in…
If this is recovery…
Today, I want to run a few thoughts by you courtesy of John Mauldin. In his recent weekly newsletter, he makes a number of points I have made here over the past few weeks and comes to a similar conclusion about the weakness of…
Three more FDIC bank seizures
Orion Bank, Naples, Florida As of October 31, 2009, Orion Bank had total assets of $2.7 billion and total deposits of approximately $2.1 billion. The FDIC accepted a 1.5 percent discount from IBERIABANK on the deposits of the failed…
China’s empty city: the emperor really has no clothes
This is Ordos.
Hat tip Barry Ritholtz
Consumer confidence sinking
From Bloomberg: Confidence among U.S. consumers unexpectedly dropped in November as the loss of jobs threatened to undermine the biggest part of the economy. The Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary sentiment index decreased…
I am now moving from multi-year recovery to a double dip baseline
The motivating factor? this article in Politico: President Barack Obama plans to announce in next year's State of the Union address that he wants to focus extensively on cutting the federal deficit in 2010 – and will downplay…
Rosenberg: U.S. GDP is overstated
This morning, David Rosenberg of Gluskin Sheff had another wonderful piece. I am only going to take on one part of it here. I have linked to the full article below so that you can read his analysis in it’s entirety (registration free but…
Jamie Dimon makes the best case for not breaking up banks
The Jamie Dimon piece in today’s Washington Post is a must-read. Dimon, head of behemoth JPMorgan Chase makes the best case for not breaking up large too-big-to-fail financial institutions. His idea: set up a robust resolution process and…
Ten lessons from financial crisis investors will soon forget
A friend sent me the following presentation earlier in the week when I was feeling a bit ill. So I neglected to post it. But, I want to return to it because it is in keeping with my recovery/depression theme. These are the issues that…
Parallels between US and Japanese economies
In the video below, Marshall Auerback gives a even-handed analysis of the parallels between the US and Japan on Fox Business with Brian Sullivan. Demographic trends, GDP trends and deleveraging trends are all similar. But, Marshall goes…