Economy

by Win Thin Brazil central bank starts its two day meeting Tuesday, and market is looking for rates to be kept steady at 10.75%.  Though rates are expected to remain steady through 2010, market is looking for tightening to resume next…

Anticipation of QEII in the US remains among the most potent forces in the capital markets.   Bernanke's pre-weekend speech and two dovish speeches since--Evans and Rosengren (both voting members of the FOMC).  The case the…

The US industrial production fell 0.2% in Sept.  The market consensus was for a gain of the same magnitude.  This is the first decline since June 2009.  Manufacturing output fell 0.2%, utility output fell 1.9%, and mining…

Note from 19 Oct 2010: It has come to our attention that the substance of this post was originally penned by Gonzalo Lira, who posted it both at his site and at Zero Hedge this time last week. Initially we thought that there was some sort…

by Edward Hugh For reasons which aren’t worth going into now, I’m reading through a recent report by Deutsche Bank Global Markets Research entitled “From The Golden To The Grey Age” this afternoon. The report (all 100 pages of it, many…

by Win Thin Markets have given a big thumbs down to the austerity measures announced by Hungary this week, with the forint and foreign currency bonds giving up some of their recent gains.  The government is still trying to go it alone…

Opinion seems nearly universal that what we are currently experiencing is not the typical business cycle with which we are familiar. Besides being the end of a long speculative bubble, and the magnitudes involved, the significance of what…

In the wake of Felix Salmon's investigative reporting on how mortgage backed securities were put together with problematic loans, an increasing amount of focus has turned to the banks' liability to investors. In the video below, Josh Rosner…

by L. Randall Wray, Professor of Economics at the University of Missouri-Kansas City, Research Director with the Center for Full Employment and Price Stability and Senior Research Scholar at The Levy Economics Institute. We have long known…

by Comstock Partners For the third time in a little more than ten years Wall Street has embraced a dubious narrative to drive the market higher in the face of crumbling fundamentals. In early 2000 the conventional wisdom discarded over a…