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Yearly Archives
2012
European Sovereign Supply and LTRO
The headline story in the Financial Times today is that "Banks set to double crisis loans from the ECB". The report says that "several" large banks from the euro zone told the FT that they "could double or triple" their takes at the LTRO.
Chart of the Day: S&P500 Up 4.36% in January
Interesting couple of charts on the S&P500. The top shows the narrowing upward channel in which the index has traded since the beginning of the year relative to the wider medium-term channel. The collapse in volatility was the direct…
Chart of the Day: S&P500 Up 4.36% in January
Interesting couple of charts on the S&P500. The top shows the narrowing upward channel in which the index has traded since the beginning of the year relative to the wider medium-term channel. The collapse in volatility was the direct…
The Fetish for Liquidity (and Reform of the Financial System)
So here’s the deal. What happened is that the financial sector taken as a whole moved into extremely short-term finance of positions in assets. This is a huge topic and is related to the transformation of investment banking partnerships…
Dollar Heading Lower after Constructive Outcome of EU Summit
Dollar is heading lower after the EU summit saw 25 of the 27 nations endorse the new fiscal compact. EuroStoxx 600 is nearly 1% higher as a result, banks up nearly 1.3%; MSCI Asia Pacific index up 0.7%. Japanese data showed a surge in…
News Links 01/31/2012
NIALL FERGUSON: Okay, I Admit It—Paul Krugman Was Right Professor Ferguson's take on the United States has changed notably over the past year. He still thinks the U.S. budget deficit is unsustainable…
On Canadian and Australian bank risk
Banking sectors in both countries are highly concentrated. The top four banks in Australia account for about three quarters of the banking assets. The top six Canadian banks account for upwards of 90% of the Canadian banking assets.…
Functional Finance and Exchange Rate Regimes: The Twin Deficits Debate
In conclusion, while there are links between the “twin deficits”, they are not the links usually imagined. US trade and budget deficits are linked, but they do not put the US in an unsustainable position vis a vis the Chinese. If the…
Dollar Pops Back
Dollar is broadly stronger against the majors and EM currencies after Greece rejected calls for direct budget control. Asian stocks fell, with the MSCI Asia Pacific index down 0.9%; EuroStoxx 600 is currently down 0.7%. Economic data saw…