Yearly Archives

2011

Nervous Calm over Currency Market

A good reception to a Spanish bill auction and a some what better than expected German ZEW investor survey helped stabilize the risk sentiment which had been battered yesterday. The major foreign currencies are mostly firmer on the day,…

The Ugly Chart Contest

Here’s a couple ugly charts we’re monitoring: China’s Shanghai Composite stock index and Commodity Research Bureau Index (CRB). Do you think there’s causality here? Remember the “China is buying/hoarding every commodity” story?

Plan B for Breakup

There were only two questions that mattered, going into the EU summit. Would leaders come up with any actions to help end the immediate crisis? Falling short of this, would any of their actions allow the European Central Bank to step up its…

The Volatility Paradox

Volatility tends to drop when market risk is building up and leverage is rising, luring investors into complacency. Indeed, the lower volatility justifies investors taking on more leverage; if volatility has dropped by a third, why not take…

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