Yearly Archives

2011

Franco – German Divergence

The European debt crisis is straining the Paris-Berlin axis, the pillar of EMU. French banks are heavily exposed to Italian debt, with some estimates putting public and private sector exposure at more than $400 bln at the end of H1 (without…

CDS are a mess

You saw my comments in the last post on the damage Europe has done in making a mockery of the sovereign CDS market. The Italy situation is worse because of this. Below is a video clip from Monday night of the Lang & O’Leary Exchange, a…

Dancing with Contagion

Markets have shifted back to crisis mode amid uncertainty over Italian economic reforms. Three likely scenarios remain after Berlusconi’s upcoming departure; Italian 10-year above 7%. UK September trade data unexpectedly widened, on…

Thai Floods and Yen Appreciation

Given the poor track record of intervention, unilateral or multilateral, sterilized or unsterilized, there may be no compelling need to understand why the $100 bln intervention is not sticking. All sorts of possible explanations seem partly…

This website uses cookies to improve your experience. We'll assume you're ok with this, but you can opt-out if you wish. Accept Read More