2011

Dollar pares back some of its gains ahead of NFP; risk appetite marginally improves NFP is likely to surprise to the downside but a “big miss” needed for a large market move Commodity currencies remain in focus; RBA signals potential rate…

"I hope that silver goes down for a while because it was turning into a parabolic move, every parabolic move ends badly, I hope that silver and all commodities continue to go up with normal corrections along the way and in 5 or 10 years,…

(Hat tip Business Insider for the video and Conor Sen for the connection). Gee Wally, I wonder if speculation had anything to do with it.

Voters in Iceland have rejected their government’s attempt to foist on them the costs of bailing out foreign creditors. Should voters in Ireland too?

The latest figures from the US show that the consumer price index rose 0.5% in March, whilst the core personal consumption expenditure price index rose only 0.1%. This column explains the roles of these competing measures and argues that US…

Recent data suggest we are at the point where energy prices are creating demand destruction. Economic growth has slowed to below 2.% in the US. Further, ISM data suggest that companies are at the breaking point in their ability to absorb…

In the week ending April 30, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 474,000, an increase of 43,000 from the previous week's revised figure of 431,000. The 4-week moving average was 431,250, an increase of 22,250…

Trichet's comments seem less hawkish than the market had anticipated and the euro is coming off sharply. While recognizing policy remains accommodative, he is using none of the word cues that point to a June hike. Euribor yields has fallen…

We debated whether to call Section 3 "Devaluation & Transformation" or 'Transformation and Devaluation" because we could not be sure (or possibly know) which would be generally recognized first. We finally opted for "Devaluation and…

Dollar stronger against most majors, but the yen is the strongest currency today, breaking 80 The ECB is meeting and Trichet’s press conference should be the key news today BOE leaves rates unchanged as expected