Monthly Archives

June 2008

Another Perfect Recession Indicator

Barry Ritholtz at the Big Picture is on to something. He has found A Perfect Recession Indicator. Since 1953, when year-over-year Non-Farm payrolls have gone negative, there has been a recession. This happened nine out of nine times for…

Wave of regional bank write-offs?

I have posted a few times on the problem surrounding an imminent writedown wave for commercial real estate (CRE) and construction loans in the US. A few days back, I had intended to post more about regionals. The Wall Street Journal had a…

Barclays taps Sovereign Wealth Funds

The Sunday Telegraph is reporting yet another major Western bank is going cap in hand to sovereign wealth funds in order to stave off the inevitable crisis. This time its Barclays, Britain's third largest bank. At a time when RBS is…

The case against the Euro

I am a Euroscpetic. I admire the political will of Europe's grand designers in creating the Euro, but I have always felt that harmonisation would be a painful process fraught with tension - especially during economic downturns. And so it is…

Additions to Credit Crisis Timeline

Latest Additions2008 05 26 UBS Falls After Saying More Mortgage Losses Possible2008 05 27 Banks, Brokers Cut 83,000 Jobs as Subprime Losses Mount: Table2008 05 28 Ambac shares hit record low after new disclosure2008 05 28 KeyCorp Slide…

National City is on probation

The bad news in the financial sector keeps coming. Today, the news is about National City, a Cleveland-based regional bank in the US. The Wall Street Journal reports that the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency (OCC) has put Nat…

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