Browsing Tag

risk

Volatility Lurks

The S&P 500 volatility index - the VIX - is a measurement of volatility expectations. It has fallen 50% since the (latest) agreement to save the euro was announced. If the VIX falls to 18, call options are worth considering.

The Volatility Paradox

Volatility tends to drop when market risk is building up and leverage is rising, luring investors into complacency. Indeed, the lower volatility justifies investors taking on more leverage; if volatility has dropped by a third, why not take…

Risk Off Monday

The US dollar is firm against all the major and emerging market currencies. Equity markets are lower, giving back all of Friday's gains and more. The euro has dropped 1% and the next level of support is seen near $1.3200.

NUTCRACKER!

It looks like Santa Claus is coming to town. Maybe we get a little consolidation over the next few days and then the next test for the S&P is 1257, the breakeven for the year, 1265.89, the 200-day moving average, and then the October 27…

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