Jobs

Politically, the whole thing looks a lot like Japan. To my mind, the right approach then is to de-emphasize “increasing... borrowing and lending” and re-emphasize increasing jobs and employment. Whether we see work sharing as we see in the…

Stephanie Kelton demonstrates that as long as unemployment remains high, the deficit will remain high. Here’s the formula: Spending creates income. Income creates sales. Sales create jobs. If you think you can cut the deficit without…

This is in line with the weak data we have seen out of the US in recent weeks. I expect Q2 growth estimates to continue to decline as the data come in.

If the US wants job growth, it will need to reduce private sector debt levels - and that takes time. The government can act a a counterweight to the demand drag but I am very sceptical of claims like Summers’ that doing so would solve a…

Jeffrey Gundlach spoke with Joe Weisenthal of Business Insider in an exclusive interview which they recently carried on their site. Gundlach believes that the economy is “a low-performance mode” that makes the unemployment overhang…

There’s been a lot of talk since America’s dismal employment situation summary was released on Friday about why Germany has done so well during the global economic recovery. Here’s David Leonhardt of the NY Times: The brief story…

The BLS invented 206,000 jobs. The Bureau has constructed an equation called the "Net Birth/Death Model." Its purpose is to count "Business births." That is, new jobs in new businesses net the number of lost jobs in "Business deaths":…

The US dollar is mostly firmer across the board ahead of NFP; equities and commodities softer. US NFP to determine cyclical tone ahead of quiet week; USD/JPY & USD/CHF likely to decline. UK PMI ebbed, euro zone PMIs revised higher;…

The immediate problem is the excess capital investment and the costly maintenance of the projects it has spawned. Longer-term, Asia's growth prospects look good.

Is China currently rebalancing? The currency has been appreciating, the PBoC has hiked interest rates four times, and wages have been surging. Because of all of this I am often asked if China has finally begun the long-waited rebalancing…