investing

In case you have noticed recently the Euro and S&P500 seem to be moving together almost tick for tick. Here are the daily moves in futures over the past month. Makes you think they’re both dancing to the same tune by the Algorithmics,…

It’s kind of useless, in our opinion, to be looking at the technicals as the market approaches the big life or death event. The EU debt plan is either going to be taken positively, in which case the S&P500 will break through the…

A friend sent this to me. It’s a note making the rounds by e-mail. If I get a source, I will link to it:

This is pretty funny. (Hat tip Scott)

Dollar moves broadly higher after risk rally ran out of steam; European stocks slide from 2-month high. Extreme market positioning, technicals and positive macro data enabled unwind of safe haven bets. South Korea’s central banks keeps…

The elevated volatility levels have made for difficult times for many investors. To simplify the complexity, there is much reference to risk-on and risk-off. We look at the correlations (60-day rolling correlation of the percentage change)…

If you are a shareholder, should you be heartened by this about-face or alarmed? At Hewlett Packard for instance, when the board of directors fired Leo Apotheker, markets were not excited by seeing Meg Whitman in his seat even though the…

We have been structurally bearish on equities since Absolute Return Partners was established in 2002. ‘Structurally bearish’ does not imply that we, or our clients, have had no exposure to equities throughout this period. Neither does it…

Since the fourth quarter of 1972 (when founded) the most important thing that the BRT does is a survey once a quarter which provides a forward looking view of the economic outlook of BRT's 140 member CEOs. One of the other major changes…

This fiscal uncertainty may be enough to prevent any ratings upgrades ahead, but we do not think the situation will worsen enough to lead to downgrades. Our sovereign rating model has Russia as a very solid BBB+/Baa1/BBB+ credit compared to…