Forecasts

While the recent data have pushed the Fed's QE withdrawal timetable out, the latest Fed statements indicate a level of hawkishness on tapering QE that we haven't seen in the last few weeks. This jobs report is shaping up to be a key data…

As I mentioned in an earlier post on Europe, a slew of manufacturing data was released today. When I wrote the first post, Europe and Asia had been released but the US had not. SInce then, the US numbers came out showing a shock…

Analysts' latest adjustments to corporate earnings forecasts for Japanese firms show many more upward than downward revisions. Merrill Lynch tracks the "number of stocks for which consensus EPS estimate has risen vs. the number for which it…

I have been posting for a while now that I think Greece provides the greatest upside potential. Greece's sovereign bonds outperforming was one of my ten surprises for 2013 three months ago. And with bond yields now falling below 10%, Morgan…

What I am seeing is a second great wave of consolidation in the industry. And by that I mean that every large company is getting into the traditional space of every other large company. Let's go down a sample list of some of the changes…

A week ago I wrote that I believed QE will end this year after tapering off in June. I stand by this stance. However, we have heard from three Fed officials in the interim and I wanted to pass on what they are saying to gauge how likely it…

I have been saying for some time now that Germany is concerned about its own public finances. So it is good to see that Angela Merkel is now confirming this. According to the Telegraph, Merkel believes that Germany simply doesn't have the…

I was on BNN's Headline with Howard Green yesterday talking about the Fed's QE program. I said that QE would be tapered and I believe it will likely end at the end of this year if the economy does not slip into recession. This is the…

Why does the federal government need to balance its books? Where does the money come from that the government spends? Whose income gets cut when spending gets cut? These are a few of the questions we should be asking when thinking about…

Analysts are beginning to raise concerns about Canada's near-term economic growth. The nation's central bank is holding the overnight rate at 1% and will likely maintain this level for some time to come.