fiscal

Back in July, Ed pointed to some comments by George Soros on currencies that I felt were perceptive. Soros said: The dollar is a very weak currency except all the others. With most major currencies down significantly against the…

Marshall Auerback here with a post which I originally published at New Deal 2.0. I wrote an earlier post called Spain: Deficit Terrorism in Action to explain some of the institutional flaws at the heart of the euro zone.  This post…

This is not just about California. Come Summer 2010, the most severe gaps will be closed via budget cuts or tax increases unless the Federal Government can pull a rabbit out of the hat. Source Policies for Increasing Economic Growth…

On a number of occasions, I have pointed to the sectoral balances model of finance to help demonstrate what happens when the government sector runs a deficit or a surplus. A recent article in the Financial Times by Martin Wolf on Japan’s…

This is the latest in a series of forecast posts. Notably, there has been Richard Bernstein, Saxo Bank and Byron Wien. The Pragmatic Capitalist has The Ultimate Guide to 2010 Investment Predictions and Outlooks, if you are interested in…

This is a post which I originally published at New Deal 2.0. Ed mentioned earlier today in the links that I was going to post to add some variety to the discussions at Credit Writedowns. So, here is an article on Spain and the EU which…

Given the fact that I have just finished writing two articles on Wien’s predictions for 2010, I thought it relevant to look back at the last three years of Wien’s surprises to just before the housing crisis.  I posted the 2009 predictions…

Employees of US states and cities have much better pension plans than do Average Americans and this is creating some serious budgetary problems, one reason to be very careful in assessing municipal bonds, particularly general revenue ones.…

Marshall Auerback here with a commentary on Robert Rubin’s recent Newsweek article on getting the economy back on track. As we all know, during his tenure as Treasury Secretary, Robert Rubin laid the groundwork for today's crisis through…

Byron Wien was amazingly accurate last year in his economic predictions even though his annual list is an attempt to build a non-consensus list of likely outlier events. So, I was eager to see Byron Wien's 2010 surprises, which were…