Emerging Markets

We are seeing divergent inflation paths in Brazil and Mexico, and today’s mid-April data underscored this point.

The easy stance of developed economy central banks is driving money into emerging markets and fostering the accommodative stance of those central banks, fearful of more hot money flows or currency appreciation. Easy money in the face of…

In Peru, populist candidate Ollanta Humala won the most votes in the weekend presidential vote in Peru, winning 29.3% so far with 75% of the ballots counted. By falling far short of the 50% + 1 needed to win, a second round vote will be…

Bernanke (and Dudley) have been testifying that inflation is not an issue. But what signs and maps are they reading? Bernanke specifically invokes inflation expectations as being most important, and he contends they are low. They both note…

Mexico central bank Governor Carstens is sounding very dovish, noting that the economic recovery is not leading to price pressures.  He believes there is enough slack in the economy still to keep inflation near the 3% target. …

By Marc Chandler Overseas investors have stepped up their purchases of Indian equities in recent days and have reversed the earlier outflows to be net purchases here in 2011. Between last Thursday, March 31, Friday April 1 and yesterday…

By Edward Hugh Evidence which would enable us to assess the full economic impact of the Japanese earthquake and tsunami is still hard to come by. There is a lot of talk of supply chain disruptions, but little in the way of detailed…

By Win Thin With BRL breaking below 1.65 and KRW below 1100, it is tempting to suggest that EM policy-makers are becoming more willing to accept currency strength to help limit inflation. We’ve heard this many times before, almost every…

By Win Thin Brazil loan growth continues to pick up and it belies the notion that macroprudential measures are having any discernible effect on the economy. Total loans rose 1.4% m/m in February vs. 0.5% m/m in January, bringing the y/y…

By John Mauldin Loose Monetary Policies and Emerging Markets So far we have focused on the United States and other mature, developed economies that have far too much debt. With Japan, the United States, the United Kingdom, and…