Jobless claims in holding pattern

No change. That's what we see from this week's jobless claims numbers. The 4-week average number is up 145,750 from a year ago. That's a bonus because three weeks ago this number was 166,500 and has fallen for three weeks on the trot.…

Breaking down the Q3 GDP numbers

So the numbers are in and the U.S. economy shrank 0.3% n the third quarter. That is a low number, but it is better than expected. The U.S. economy looks like it is in recession based on these numbers. However, before we go away…

US GDP shrinks 0.3% in Q3

I won't be able to comment here until later today when I will update this post. But I wanted to report that U.S. GDP shrank 0.3% in Q3, less than the 0.5% median forecast. Now, when it comes to government statistics like GDP, the devil's…

The experience canard

As we head into the final stretch leading up to the U.S. presidential election, I wanted to throw a thought out there about experience and judgment. I have long been of the view that natural bias toward one or the other has a lot to do…

Markets are looking very good

This morning, the markets are looking wonderful. All the Asian markets were up with the Nikkei (Japan), Kospi (S. Korea) and Hang Seng (Hong Kong) up 10%+. The European markets were way up right out of the gate. And despite bad GDP…

Links: 2008-10-29 [delicious]

Beware the unwinding of the yen carry trade - FT Worse than Japan again becoming the source of almost free money, is the chance of an even more risky dollar carry trade, writes David PillingCracks appearing in Vancouver's condo boom -…

Chart of the day: Commodities

For the second day in a row we are basking in the glow of an up market (update: or at least we were until the last 12 minutes). Everyone's happy. But, some people are happier than others. And the happiest amongst the bunch are those people…

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