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Full Text: Moody’s revises rating outlook for Australian mortgage insurers to negative
Below is the press release issued by Moody's in conjunction with the down grade of Australia's mortgage insurers.
The 2012 Blind Side: China’s Housing Bust
Foreign Affairs has just posted a must read piece, "China’s Real Estate Bubble May Have Just Popped", which will sound very familiar to Global Macro Monitor readers. We’re going to be spend a lot time over the holidays thinking how this…
Dollar Firmer As European News Stream Remains Negative
US dollar was firmer vs. majors Monday even as euro zone news stream remains negative; Moody's cut Belgium two notches Friday to Aa3 and kept a negative outlook. Euro short positions at record high on IMM; euro zone Finance Ministers to…
Chart of the Day: European Bank Recapitalization
A chart with a country by country breakdown of the over 100 billion euros of additional capital needed by euro zone banks
Is Finland Really A Closet Member Of The Eurozone Periphery?
The country’s debt dynamics are far from unsustainable at this point, but given the weakening in the country’s export performance and the steady unwinding of the housing boom we can now anticipate I would expect growth to be weaker than…
Europe’s Three No’s in Two Parts: Part II
The ECB is seen to be the key protagonist and the pressure is more acute on it to act. Yet it steadfastly refuses. The other solution that has been advocated is a joint European bond. It is not going to be forthcoming any time soon. Such…
Europe’s Three No’s in Two Parts: Part I
Banks can borrow as much as they want from the central for three years at the refi rate. They are limited only by their desire and collateral. The ECB also liberalized further its definition of acceptable collateral. But expectations of…
China: Lots of news, signifying nothing new
I don’t think there is a whole lot to say about this week’s numbers beyond what I have been saying for the past several months. Nothing substantial has really changed. China’s external account is worsening, and will continue to worsen…
Bubble Trouble in the U.S. Heartland?
The “smart money” has been buying up farmland hand over fist for the past few years and you can see how they helped drive up land prices in the U.S. heartland. Some think this is the place to be if the shit really hits the fan. Not gold,…
Chart of the Day: Post-Bubble Performance Comps of U.S. Financials and Techs
The guys over at Bespoke put out a great piece yesterday comparing the post-bubble performance of U.S. financials after the February 2007 top and the technology sector after the dot.com peak in March 2000.