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Greek private sector involvement: So what?
The market has been focused on the negotiations over the private sector involvement in reducing Greece’s debt burden. Yet, the PSI is so yesterday. There are many moving parts and the PSI, which has dominated the market’s attention, is…
News Links 01/28/2012
Greece plans orderly exit of the Eurozone - National International Trade | Examiner.com Greece plans an orderly exit out of the Eurozone according to two sources close to Mr. Papademos, Greek Prime…
Chart of the Day: Permanent Zero and Personal Interest Income
If you are a retiree, you're not happy these days. Five years ago, you were getting a decent return on your fixed income investments. But since then, the Fed has trashed the fixed income market by reducing interest rates to zero percent for…
Headline 4Q-2011 GDP Growth of 2.75% Masks Mixed Signals
This report is disturbing because of how the headline number masks real and troubling weakness in the more substantive details. Hopefully anyone trying to engineer the economy is basing their tinkering on better information than that…
The Twilight of the Leisure Class
Taken to its end, industrialization class distinctions are revealed by conspicuous consumption. This points to the objective of industrial production: goods in the realm of common consumption become removed from social distinction. This is…
The Ultimate QE is the Fed’s Coming Purchase of Real Assets
I would bet on near-systemic collapse before the Fed starts either asset purchases or Congress resorts to fiscal activism. But eventually, the Fed is going to purchase more than just treasuries. They will purchase a lot of financial assets…
On how Portugal is the next Greece
Portugal appears to be headed down that same road. While we have warned in the past of risks that Portugal would need a second aid package, it is only since S&P joined the other major rating agencies on January 13 that more market…
Stephen Roach on US, the Fed, China, and Europe
Stephen Roach says the Fed is going all in in support of QE and I agree. But what else are they going to do? Look at Europe, for example. The ECB there has a hydra-headed problem with sovereigns and banks on the brink of insolvency and they…
I repeat: The Fed’s Permanent Zero rate policy is toxic
Permanent zero can work over the medium-term but the economy is dependent on employment growth and monetary policy doesn't drive that.
More on the Fed – Obama stimulus plan
My last weekly said the hand-in-hand Fed activism and fiscal activism via Obama's mortgage proposal is bullish. Let me add a bit of colour here.