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Spanish economy slowing fast
A leading Spansh newspaper, ABC, reported today that Spanish growth is decelerating quickly. According to the paper, year-on-year growth slowed from 3.5% to 2.7% while quarter-on-quarter, growth was only 0.3% versus 0.8% in the previous…
More CRE reporting
The blogger Mish is on to the Commercial Real Estate (CRE) downturn. His latest blog entry,WSJ Report: Less Shopping = Fewer Malls, shows that both the WSJ and the FT are reporting a fall in CRE prices.The Financial Times is reporting a…
TED Spread is at a 9-month low
Well, even though the data in the real economy is looking pretty bad. There is good news. The Ted Spread is at a 9-month low. That should be very supportive of capital markets over the near term."Lending confidence at banks rose to the…
$35 billion in missing writedowns
I don't know if you caught the Bloomberg article about the $35 billion in missing writedowns, but I thought it was about time I exposed it. Bloomberg news says:Banks and securities firms, reeling from record losses resulting from the…
UK Bubble
As you know, I am looking at the UK and Spain as the epicenter for the next leg down in the housing bubble. Spain suffered massive overbuilding while the UK had a huge run-up in prices.The Blogger at UK Bubble is on to something in her…
Another CRE debacle
The Commercial Real Estate (CRE) bust is coming to an office building near you. The latest story? The GM building in NY was flogged off with some other properties at the peak of the bubble for a cool $3.6 to $3.9 billion. Now, the…
Soros calls credit crisis the worst since ’29
George Soros claims that we are experiencing the most wrenching times in our financial system since the Great Depression. One has to be either appreciative of his advice or envious of his wealth. He made $3 billion in 2007 as a hedge fund…
Chart of the day: Jobless Claims
This chart speaks for itself.See also:Unemployment Report: biggest rise in rate in two decadesChart of the day: Change in jobless claims
What’s different about 2008?
I am on record for expecting a serious downturn after the Tech Bubble crashed in 2001. We muddled through for a few years, but ultimately most of the damage was done and gone by 2004. The Tech Bubble was a bubble of asset prices that had…
Look who needs money now: AIG
The list of financial institutions needing capital because they lost so much in the credit crisis grows by the day. Now, its the insurance company AIG. After their abysmal earnings report, they need an enormous $20 billion to tide them…