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My updated European macro outlook for 2013 is positive
Despite the grandiose title of this post, I intend to keep my comments brief. Having had a few days to digest the news without having to write, I come back somewhat more optimistic about the European economy. I wouldn't call myself a bull…
On the Moto X and Android domination
The new flagship phone for Motorola, Google's mobile hardware subsidiary, the Moto X has grabbed the tech industry's attention. It is made in the US and comes with a lot of flashy customization features. I think the phone is a bit…
Google latest moves in mobile are its most important yet
Yesterday I wrote up a review of Apple's earnings. And while the earnings are declining, Apple is still in pole position in the mobile space. Nonetheless, Google's product unveiling yesterday was huge because the various products in…
Why I am relatively upbeat about Europe
I continue to anticipate a recovery in Europe in the second half of this year. The manufacturing PMI data that were released this morning suggest we could be in recovery before the end of the quarter. This makes me relatively upbeat about…
The euro crisis is not over, Portuguese edition
Remember how French President Hollande was saying a month ago that the euro crisis is over? Well, he was wrong. Today portugal's yields on 10-year paper vaulted to as high as 7.9% before settling back down again.
Asset-price fuelled boom gives way to global rout in equities led by Japan and EM
A rout in global equities is taking shape with the decline led by Japan and emerging markets. Japan is now in bear market territory, with shares down over 20% from the high. But emerging markets are my main worry because of the real…
Greece’s failed privatization, Europe’s potential recovery and Abenomics
In the links today, the biggest threads outside of the NSA scandal were on Greece and Europe. I believe the economy there is bottoming and I want to discuss some of the news flow. There was also a rate decision by the Japanese central bank…
On predicting the US and European cyclical economic outlook
As I mentioned in an earlier post on Europe, a slew of manufacturing data was released today. When I wrote the first post, Europe and Asia had been released but the US had not. SInce then, the US numbers came out showing a shock…
Europe is now officially in back-loaded austerity mode
As I have ben predicting here for months, the problems in individual large European economies have become to large to bear for the prevailing European policy mix. Therefore, today, in releasing the next year's country specifici…
Some thoughts on Canada’s housing market
This is a more in-depth follow-up piece to the free article I wrote yesterday. In the wake of the recent Ira Sohn conference and the revelation that hedge funds are starting to short housing-related Canadian stocks, there is a lot of bubble…