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On market vulnerability, profits, p/e ratios and the S&P500
My caution on U.S. markets is based not just on technical factors coming from the crisis in emerging markets and the longstanging lack of a market correction. I am also concerned that interest rates have started to rise against a backdrop…
“The people can always be brought to the bidding of the leaders”
Everything I have read says that the U.S. is going to bomb Syria. The only question is how to win over the American people in the court of public opinion. So that's where the Göring quote comes in. Basically, he's saying that dictatorships…
Shiller: Risk of a weakening housing market
Yesterday, we learned that the Case-Shiller Housing Index is up 12.1% through June. In response, Robert Shiller said "housing is a market with momentum" and he believes that the momentum is up. Let's remember that the Case-Shiller Index is…
Central bankers, unsustainable Imbalances and the crisis in emerging markets
The problem in a nutshell is that the U.S. is the world's reserve currency. And so, other countries are forced to adhere to Fed dictates in a liquidity crisis because everyone is hoarding dollars, trying to maintain their supply of…
The US debt ceiling debacle will begin all over again this Fall
Yet again, the U.S. debt ceiling is going to become a political football that could threaten the U.S. and global economy. While I don't think the U.S. will default on its debt these recurring manufactured crises make the U.S. extremely…