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Browsing Tag
Unemployment
Bernanke ‘Irresponsible’ to Compare US to Greece
That's the headline from my latest talk on RT's Alyona Show. Before I send you to the clip, let me explain my thinking because I don't think I was really clear in the video.
The Fed Resumes “Printing”
One conclusion from the Fed's actions is that it doesn't care as much about its inflation target as it does about improving the unemployment rate. Thus, it will err on the side of letting inflation rise, if it would improve unemployment.…
Jobs data highlight huge potential for capital loss in Treasuries
I have been making a big deal about strength in the household series of employment and the trend in IUCs. These are statistical series that do not get revised out of recognition. They often tell the tale at turning points. Given that past…
El-Erian on jobs: Headline bullish but structural issues remain
Bloomberg Television has another video with PIMCO head Mohamed El-Erian, this time on the jobs number. This one number has the potential to set the tone for the short-term because it was so far ahead of consensus estimates. El-Erian…
Chart of the day: Labor force participation rate at 30-year low
The jobs data were the best we have seen in a long time and well above expectations. This and the first upward revisions to the annual revisions were a pleasant surprise. While a lot of people are in disbelief because of a present bearish…
If you were looking for a reason to be bullish, this jobs report is it
The jobs report has just come out and the numbers are amazingly bullish. This article for subscribed members looks at what the report means.
Friday’s Thoughts and Seven Investment Themes
First, the trajectory of monetary policy in the US, Europe, China and Japan is in a more accommodative direction. Second, the underlying economies are showing preliminary signs of stabilizing. Third, the combination of easing monetary…
Milton Friedman, Functional Finance and the Government Budget Constraint
Last week we examined Milton Friedman’s version of Functional Finance, which we found to be remarkably similar to Abba Lerner’s. The only problem with Friedman’s analysis is that he did not account for the external sector: he wanted a…
Robert Shiller: “Sweden has a bubble”
Sweden may have a bubble in its housing market. But now that housing prices have begun to fall, it is too late to deploy countermeasures.