Ray Dalio: We are already in a bond bear market right now
Bridgewater Associates' Ray Dalio warned that a rise in bond yields could lead to the biggest crisis in fixed income markets in almost 40 years.
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Browsing Tag
Ray Dalio
Ray Dalio: First comes the boom, then comes the bust
Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio says we are late in the economic cycle and should expect good things from asset markets. But central banks will have a tricky time dealing with the consequences.
The US Armageddon Scenario Part 2
The last post was an attempt to describe a reasonable worse case scenario for the US real economy as relatively benign compared to 1937, a comparison making the rounds these days due to a piece by Bridgewater’s Ray Dalio. My point is that…
The US Armageddon Scenario and 1937
The title of this post is a bit alarmist. But what I intend to write is more about reasonable worst case economic scenarios that the Fed is looking to avoid. While a 1937-style downdraft is something to consider down the line, in the…
More on risk re-pricing in 2013
I have been fairly sanguine about some of the market turbulence in 2013. From the fiscal cliff to the sequester to the Japan rate rise to the Fed tapering, I haven't seen a trigger for wholesale risk repricing. I want to flag student loans…
2013 risk repricing to be feared since last one in 2009 caused sovereign debt crisis
Over the American thanksgiving holiday three years ago in 2009, the relatively small sovereign-linked debtor Dubai World announced it would suspend payments on its debt obligations. Dubai World was a state-owned conglomerate in the emirate…
My Comments on Spiegel’s Post on How Monetary Policy Threatens Savings
Spiegel, a widely-read German magazine, has published a trilogy of articles on inflation in German that it has also translated into English. The theme is “How Monetary Policy Threatens Savings” and I see this as a must-read for those…
On optimism in the face of deflationary crisis responses, part 2
This is a brief follow-on to the last post on whether we should be optimistic, in particular now that the US housing market is improving. If you think about it, the problem now is that all debtors - public and private - are taking the…
The latest conversation with Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio
Ray Dalio spoke with Maria Bartiromo at the Council on Foreign Relations this morning about a number of economic and financial topics. Dalio covered a number of topics including deleveraging the euro crisis and alternative investments like…
Ray Dalio on Deleveraging
Ray Dalio was featured in Barron's at the weekend. He spoke about the various options available to affect a private sector deleveraging. He sees three ways which he calls austerity, restructuring, and money printing.
Below is an excerpt…