Ray Dalio

Nearly a month ago, back on May 5th, I highlighted some testimony by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke before congress in a post labelled, “Bernanke expects recovery later this year". In his testimony, Bernanke used the phrase…

A recent post I published on both Credit Writedowns and Naked Capitalism, “Both initial claims and continuing claims now pointing to recovery,” has left the impression that I am a wild-eyed bull – for which I have been duly smacked about…

Today, I want to make the case for seeing writedowns as central to this global downturn. To do so, we need to rewind and compare what is going on today with what we have experienced in the past. Drawing on this comparison, I can…

Here are the main links. Others can be found in the news feed (also available via RSS). Enjoy. IMF poised to print billions of dollars in 'global quantitative easing' - Telegraph (hat tip Artur. Gold, anyone?) China blocks…

The results of my poll are back and  according to readers we are clearly in Depression.  A plurality of you voted for depression with a small 'd,' edging out those who see Depression with a Big  'D.' I agree with this assessment as I…

Update: 18 Mar 2008. I am reposting this entry from Feb 10th because it is relevant to the need to liquidate insolvent institutions like AIG that are now getting bailouts.

$1.6 trillion! This is the figure that a Bridgewater Associates study has come up with. I caught this article when I was looking for the original German-language version of a story that MarketWatch exposed regarding the Swiss banks' need…