Next Phase For Italian Politics
The next phase in Italian politics has not been much of a market factor. Expect this phase to endure as the formation of a government should take a long time.
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Browsing Tag
Italy
The euro area’s deepening political divide
Two European elections – in Germany on 24 September 2017 and Italy on 4 March 2018 – warn that the peoples of Europe are drifting apart. Much of the recent deepening of these divisions can be traced to Europe’s single currency, the euro.…
Links: China tariffs, Italy, monetary offset and midterm turnout
Links on the Chinese reaction to tariffs, economic problems in Italy, the dangers of monetary offset for shares, and the importance of voter turnout for the midterm US elections.
Where is the Anxiety Ahead European Political Risk on March 4?
Political risk in Europe is centered on outcomes in Germany and Italy. First, the SPD could decide not to participate in another coalition with Merkel. And second, the 5-Star Movement won a plurality of the votes.
Bailout bank Monte dei Paschi sub deal three times over-subcribed as Euro hits 3-year high
A subordinated deal in a bank bailed out just a year ago and the currency at a three -year high underscore European investor confidence.
Italian Election–Two Months and Counting
Italy's election has the potential for some surprises. The Five Star Movement, which is polling first in surveys, has pledged a referendum on the euro if Brussels does not change its fiscal rules. Berlusoni's Forza Italia and Salvini's…
Eurozone winners and losers
The eurozone is fully recovered from the sovereign debt crisis. And that’s been true since early in 2016. But it’s only now that big growth is kicking into high gear as the synchronized global upturn takes hold. But who are the winners and…
The economic acceleration in Europe underpins global growth
Since the EU had been a growth laggard due to the European sovereign debt crisis, the pickup in growth there is encouraging. In particular, Italy deserves mention as it has lagged and is where I believe the battle for the EU’s future will…
Germany’s coalition talks are sowing the seeds of the euro’s breakup
For years now within Germany’s policy circles, there have been many who have pushed for an ‘expulsion’ or ‘voluntary exit’ mechanism for the Eurozone. I am now hearing this position advocated by FDP head Christian Lindner, a potential…
The economics for populism no longer exist in Europe
While the economy in the UK was favourable for Corbyn last week, I don’t think the economics support populism elsewhere in Europe right now. Everywhere you look, the populists are in retreat in Europe. And that will give the EU breathing…