Browsing Tag

financial history

It isn’t easy being green

by Michael Pettis The seemingly imminent and inexorable rise of the renminbi as a major, even dominant, reserve and trading currency, has been almost as widely heralded as the equivalent rise of the Japanese yen just twenty years ago. Even…

The Broken Cash Register

Opinion seems nearly universal that what we are currently experiencing is not the typical business cycle with which we are familiar. Besides being the end of a long speculative bubble, and the magnitudes involved, the significance of what…

The Fed’s Great Experiment

by Comstock Partners For the third time in a little more than ten years Wall Street has embraced a dubious narrative to drive the market higher in the face of crumbling fundamentals. In early 2000 the conventional wisdom discarded over a…

Shifting Correlations

By Annaly Capital Management A common phrase often overheard on your favorite financial news channels goes something like this: “Stocks are cheap relative to bonds.” After all, the dividend yield on the Dow Jones Industrial Average is now…

Debt Deflation Defined

Irving Fisher was a leading economist in the early 20th century. After being caught out during the Great Depression (he famously quipped, "Stock prices have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." right before the…

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