equities

By Claus Vistesen I recently asked my readers whether the global economy is in for inflation, deflation, or stagflation. Given that it may well be all three at different points in time, it seems as if recent market action suggests that…

It looks so easy. Risk on and risk off. When risk trades are being put on, equity market and commodities prices, like gold and oil, rise. The euro appreciates and the yen sells off. When risk trades come off, just the opposite takes place.…

The last time Ray Dalio conducted a major interview, the global economy seemed to be headed toward a major depression. This was in February 2009 when Barron's had a conversation with Bridgewater Associates' Ray Dalio. For his part, Dalio…

Earlier in the week, David Rosenberg wrote that he is bullish on energy stocks due to the exogenous shock that tensions in the Middle East are creating in the energy complex. However, this is not a bullish story for overall U.S. growth or…

The upshot of all this is that oil prices will probably remain high and could very well rise significantly even from current levels. For the U.S., studies indicate that every $1 rise in the price of a barrel of oil is about equivalent to a…

The US dollar is broadly stronger this morning as geopolitical tensions in Libya and the Middle East prompt demand for safe haven securities. Indeed, the dollar, yen and Swiss franc are all higher as the reboot of risk-off has driven a…

By Win Thin Now that we are about halfway through Q1, we thought it would be helpful to take a look at how equity markets have performed so far this year.  The tables below summarize MSCI performance for a variety of countries and…

By Michael Pettis Because of the lunar New Year festivities when I wrote my newsletter little had happened in China besides the 25 bp interest rate hike on Tuesday, not counting of course the never-ending stream of fireworks and the…

This contribution was originally published by John Mauldin, best-selling author and recognized financial expert. John is also editor of the free Thoughts From the Frontline that goes to over 1 million readers each week. To subscribe to his…

By Marshall Auerback Yesterday, Ed wrote a good piece on consumer spending and the return of the economy to the status quo ante. I think it's a little bit more malign than that. There has been a real positive change in the underpinnings…