election

The latest jobs report confirms that, on the eve of the coronavirus outbreak, the US economy was healthy, and that there was little chance of a near-term recession. I would go so far as to say that, even with the coronavirus outbreak, the…

One major headline today that you might have seen concerns politics in the German State of Thuringia. And that’s because German Chancellor Angela has publicly rebuked the leaders of her own party in that state for accepting support from the…

Labour shellacking and SNP domination The UK general election results are in. And, for me, the most striking feature of the outcome is the absolute thrashing the Labour Party received. With only 201 seats of 650 constituencies in…

The US midterm elections last night saw the biggest turnout for a midterm in at least half a century because voter enthusiasm was high. But it was high because the United States is very polarized right now about the job performance of…

There isn't a lot of economic news out today, so let me focus today's piece a bit on the economic and social messaging ahead of the US midterm elections. What about the economy? I was in the car just now, listening to the radio, when a…

The narrative that emerged after the nomination battle over Brett Kavanaugh was dominated by claims that the Republican base had been energized by disgust at the so-called liberal mob that protested Kavanaugh's nomination. But I believe…

The end result of yesterday's election in Bavaria is German chancellor Angela Merkel's sister party, the CSU, losing its absolute majority and being forced to govern in a coalition government after the party's worst showing since 1950.…

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Political risk in Europe is centered on outcomes in Germany and Italy. First, the SPD could decide not to participate in another coalition with Merkel. And second, the 5-Star Movement won a plurality of the votes.

Italy's election has the potential for some surprises. The Five Star Movement, which is polling first in surveys, has pledged a referendum on the euro if Brussels does not change its fiscal rules. Berlusoni's Forza Italia and Salvini's…