deflation

In an August 3rd video, Gary Shilling, president of A. Gary Shilling & Co., talks about the outlook for the U.S. economy. Shilling speaks with Matt Miller on Bloomberg Television's "Street Smart."

From Comstock Partners In a scholarly paper that was released today James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated, "The U.S. is closer to a Japanese-style outcome than at any time in recent…

This is the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis piece by James Bullard that everyone is talking about. Here's the money quote: Under current policy in the U.S., the reaction to a negative shock is perceived to be a promise to stay low…

David Rosenberg is bullish on bonds. And the reasoning for his bullishness has a lot to do with the deleveraging and excess capacity which the bursting of the credit bubble has brought into view. In this sense, his views on inflation are…

Wow! We see the word "Deflation" everywhere; we see it in every financial publication and hear it every time we turn on financial TV. We see that the pundits who were bearish because of runaway inflation have just recently…

Well, I, for one, am more or less willing to throw in the towel on behalf of Inflation. For the near future at least, his adversary in the blue trunks, Deflation, has won on points. Even if we get intermittently rising commodity prices,…

Lately there has been much ink spilled (or at least the electronic equivalent) about the meaning in the downward shift of the yield curve, the significance of a two-year Treasury that sports a 5/8% yield, and a 10-year that trades in a new…

US data have been disappointing.  The weekly initial jobless claim increase has been followed by a weaker than expected ISM manufacturing report.  The ISM fell to 56.2 from 59.7. The consensus had anticipated a smaller decline to…

The U.S. long bond yield is edging lower with each and every passing day, and now stands below 3.90%. At the same time, we cannot help but notice the huge gap that still exists between 10s and 30s — nearly 100 basis points. There is…

A post on the latest economics debates by Claus Vistesen Steve Waldman has a very good post this week about the folly about the austerity vs non-austerity discussion which seems to be going the rounds at the moment. In fact, it you take a…