currencies

There is a road open for China involving controlled inflation that would lead to re-balancing, both domestically and internationally, which has some uncertainties. These must be compared to those of sustaining the export-led growth model,…

In the EMEA space, central banks from Czech Republic, Hungary, South Africa, and Turkey all meet next week. We don’t see any change from these four central banks and in general we believe EM central banks have moved into dovish wait-and-see…

European stocks rally for a fourth day ahead of outcome from ECOFIN meeting; US futures tread lower. Coordinated policy action good step; further support for EFSF/Greece needed to hold momentum. CNY continues to be used by Beijing as a tool…

One theme that has captured the imagination of many investors has been the debasement of paper money and the dramatic rise in gold prices. Gold has risen 27.6% in dollar terms thus far this year (24% in euro terms, which reflects 3% euro…

Market sentiment continues to improve as Greek steps back from the abyss (again); RBNZ holds. EUR/USD trades near 1.38 amid improving backdrop; market likely to focus on data in today’s session. Russia’s rate move seen as technical move to…

Market cautiously optimistic amid hopes of China bond purchases and Merkel, Sarkozy conference. Moody’s downgrades two French banks; EUR resilient off the back of potential policy response. Brazilian retail sales stronger than expected;…

The dollar remains supported in choppy markets; French banks under pressure amid funding concerns. Euro zone risk premium continues to widen; Greece dances with default, tepid Italian bond auction. Banco de Mexico is likely to cut by at…

EUR/USD breaches 1.35 (new trend low) and stocks hit 26-month low amid Greece default concerns. This week is likely to be dominated again by European headlines and US economic data reports. China data support soft landing scenario; Central…

Just where are all those borrowers who are willing and able to borrow the $2 trillion or $20 trillion that hyperventilators believe banks want to lend? The US private sector (firms and households) have instead ramped up their net…

Markets continued to be dominated by the EZ sovereign debt crisis and the uncertainty surrounding key political events this month, which are likely to shape the market response in the months ahead. Of the key political events that take…