currencies

Dollar firmer across the board amid month end repositioning; US futures suggest modest decline. Markets likely to remain sensitive to DM economic data; Case-Shiller & FOMC minutes are key today. EM continues trade directionless for now…

This week we examine coinage from Roman times to the present in Western society.

Friday’s shift in sentiment spills over into Asian and European sessions; dollar broadly weaker. This week’s attention shifts back to US and EZ data; Japanese select sixth PM (Noda) in five years. Chinese shares were laggard in EM rally…

Reports that hedge funds, with almost no tolerance for short-term pain, have opened the biggest net short positions since early 2008 has driven a relatively low volume short covering rally. We even heard predictions of a 400 point drop…

The fact that Italy's 5-year CDS prices remain elevated (376 now vs 388 on Aug 4 peak) warns that ECB bond buying, fiscal austerity has not convinced private sector investors that the worst is truly past. This offers a poor backdrop from…

Market action is quiet ahead of today’s Jackson Hole speech; US Q2 GDP likely to confirm slowdown. We do not expect an announcement of next round of asset purchases; yet doubt Fed will limit tools. EM asset prices are likely to continue…

The impact of Fed Chairman Bernanke’s testimony – his assessment of the economy and the further accommodation that can be provided to stem economic stresses into next week - will dominate market action into the next week. The G10 currency…

Safe havens decline against backdrop of improved risk appetite; stocks and oil both up over 1%. EZ PMIs and Norwegian GDP both surprise to the upside; attention shifts to Richmond Fed in NY. EM markets supported by flash China PMI; Russia…

You can ignore the markets if you want to. But, in time, the markets will not ignore you – Nigel Farage, MEP

Capital preservation has once again has become mantra. The safety offered by Japan and Switzerland are meeting resistance from policy makers. As the market looks for alternatives, the Swedish krona has much to offer, including a relatively…