In 2008 and 2009 I argued that the crisis we were undergoing would affect every major economy in the world, but not necessarily at the same pace. I said that China would be the last major economy to emerge from the crisis. Why? Because the…
The US dollar is continues its broad rally as doubts over Greece persist, although currencies continue to trade in relatively tight ranges. While European drama continues to command attention, the yen has quietly depreciated and is now at…
The ECB and BOE have shown their intent with their recent aggressive balance sheet expansions and the Fed is trying hard to keep the door open for more QE even as the data in the US continues to defy the general global slowdown.
In Asia…
The combination of a 50 bp cut in China's required reserve ratios and anticipation that the European finance ministers sign off on the second aid package for Greece has lifted equity markets and most of the non-US dollar currencies.
There are two sets of important developments over the weekend that will influence the global capital markets. The first is in China and the second in Europe.
The dollar is paring back some of its recent losses, with currencies mostly range bound, ahead of the ECB. The EuroStoxx 600 is currently up 0.25%, with bank shares up 0.8%; S&P 500 futures are essentially flat. Euro zone sovereign…
The year got off on a much better foot than might have been expected, at least as far as global manufacturing is concerned. So the fall in global manufacturing has flattened out, even though the bounce back has more of a dead cat look about…
Stephen Roach says the Fed is going all in in support of QE and I agree. But what else are they going to do? Look at Europe, for example. The ECB there has a hydra-headed problem with sovereigns and banks on the brink of insolvency and they…