bubble

This newsletter from John Mauldin arrived in my inbox this morning. If you haven't read his newsletters they are very good, including those from Guest commentators like this one from James Montier. I will add the text in full. It is…

The world has experienced three periods of extreme financial dislocation in the past century, 1929, 1973, and 1990. Two of these have been deflationary. While most observers have their eyes firmly peeled on 1973 and its aftermath, 1929 and…

Are we headed for a crash in commodities like the one in 1987 in equities? I doubt it. But, I am concerned that the commodities bubble is getting well out of hand. Certainly, the rationale for commodities as an inflation hedge and in a…

Wikipedia has a great entry on the subprime housing bubble for anyone who wants a primer on the bubble and a subprime housing bubble timeline. Follow the link here. This a pretty comprehensive entry with some pretty heady stuff and a lot…

I am on record for expecting a serious downturn after the Tech Bubble crashed in 2001. We muddled through for a few years, but ultimately most of the damage was done and gone by 2004. The Tech Bubble was a bubble of asset prices that had…

With oil prices edging up near $120 a barrel, isn't it time for a Windfall Profits tax on oil companies in order to alleviate the burden of the high cost of oil? The short answer is no. Let me explain why.

I f anyone doubted it, China's bubble has finally popped. The Shanghai Composite Index is down 50% from its highs in 2007. That is a massive downswing that must have broader consequences. Moreover, this is likely the result of a…

As the Fed Funds rate gets close to zero, pundits have been worrying about a pending liquidity trap. While I think these worries are well placed because the Fed is running out of bullets, I am more concerned about inflation right now.…