monetary policy

From Comstock Partners In a scholarly paper that was released today James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, stated, "The U.S. is closer to a Japanese-style outcome than at any time in recent…

This is the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis piece by James Bullard that everyone is talking about. Here's the money quote: Under current policy in the U.S., the reaction to a negative shock is perceived to be a promise to stay low…

I am great believer in divergence when it comes to the global economy if anything then because it allows you to take a slightly more nuanced perspective than the risk off/risk on debate that has dominated the discourse for the past two…

A lot of people have asked me to write about the recently “leaked” CBRC report on dodgy local government debt.  Here is what the article in Monday’s Bloomberg had to say about it (and note especially that delicious second paragraph):…

By Annaly Capital Management The economic research staff at the Federal Reserve Bank of New York has been busy. Last week we wrote about the New York Fed’s Staff Report No. 458 , which discussed the shadow banking system in the United…

After a long and rather tense wait, the initial response to the publication of the European bank stress tests was always going to be something of an anti-climax. Indeed the results should hardly have comes as a surprise to anyone It is…

Wow! We see the word "Deflation" everywhere; we see it in every financial publication and hear it every time we turn on financial TV. We see that the pundits who were bearish because of runaway inflation have just recently…

Here's how one well-respected equity analyst sees yesterday's performance by Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke: The Fed has a disconcerting power over the financial markets The Fed is calling the tune – that much is clear. Many…

From the Brown Brothers Harriman Currency Strategy Team Highlights US dollar is softer across the board so far today vs. the majors, as markets regain a semblance of calm after Bernanke’s comments yesterday.  Markets await Friday’s…

From Annaly Capital Management For those who missed it (and we had, until we were tipped by James Aitken, thank you very much), a vital paper was posted to the New York Fed’s website in the beginning of the month. “Shadow Banking,” a staff…