malinvestment

The short answer to my question is no. I was thinking about this early today and here's what I have come up with as a more fleshed out answer. Budget deficits are the result of an ex-post accounting identity. In plain English this means…

In regards to Ed's last post on China and trade, the position of Michael Pettis is much closer to mine (and Martin Wolf's, which he expressed yesterday in the FT).  The quote of Pettis that Ed cites does not invalidate my position at…

Yesterday, Ed sent me an article by James Fallows on some 2006 comments by Republican gubernatorial candidate Christine O'Donnell regarding the threat to the United States posed by China. She said China had a "carefully thought out…

by Michael Pettis On Wednesday I will be putting up my piece on the politics of China’s adjustment process, but before doing that I wanted to mention a few recent particles worthy of comment.  First, Jamil Anderlinin has a long and…

With a pressing unemployment problem depressing growth in the US, former president Clinton plans to demonstrate his five-year old public service community can create jobs in America while still implementing projects that achieve results…

As is often the case, the genesis of this post is a conversation initiated by Edward (Harrison) on the question of why we aren’t using monetary policy to stimulate aggregate demand. That question was posed here by Tyler Cowen at Marginal…

Bill White, formerly of the BIS and now with the OECD spoke to Bloomberg News during the KC Fed's annual meeting in Jackson Hole, WY. He gave some rather pointed answers to questions about the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. I reviewed…

My friend Rob Parenteau says "most professional investors are high frequency macro data and short run asset price driven."  He basically means they have no real macro analytical framework to use when making investment…

I am on holiday for a few weeks. But I am going to write a brief post here on QE because I think it is an important subject. For months now we have heard that the Federal Reserve could start buying up Treasury securities in another…

There has been a lot of excited press commentary recently about China’s overtaking Japan as the world’s second largest economy.  China’s GDP should be larger than Japan’s for the first time sometime this year, which in a similar…