inflation

By Claus Vistesen I recently asked my readers whether the global economy is in for inflation, deflation, or stagflation. Given that it may well be all three at different points in time, it seems as if recent market action suggests that…

By Win Thin Local Brazil analysts are saying that new measures to curb currency appreciation are basically ready to go. Finance Minister Mantega has reportedly not decided yet if he is going to release details today or not, and that he is…

China threw in a surprise trade deficit number this past month. However, It looks to be a one off. UBS' Andy Lees in London explains: The February trade numbers slipped to a deficit of USD7.3bn. The number is usually volatile at this…

Egypt reserves for February were reported today, and fell almost 5% ($1.7 bln) from January to $33.3 bln. This follows a $1 bln decline in January, and the stock market hasn't even reopened yet. While officials are likely very concerned…

By Win Thin Korea February inflation data came in much higher than expected, and supports our view that a rate hike on March 10 is a done deal. The central bank kept rates steady February 11 after a 4-2 vote in favor of a 25 bp rate hike…

The Absolute Return Letter, March 2011 By Niels Jensen “Experience is the name everyone gives to their mistakes” Oscar Wilde A remarkable month Two remarkable events unfolded during the month of February. One cleared…

The February 2011 Manufacturing ISM Report On Business came out today confirming the strong manufacturing reading we got yesterday from the Chicago PMI. The National PMI came in at 61.4%, ahead of consensus expectations for 60.5% and up…

Here's a morning note from UBS' Andy Lees in London on core inflation that made me think. Andy writes: Opinion – By focussing on core inflation rather than headline inflation, central banks are making a major policy mistake. Because…

By Claus Vistesen As the debate between the inflationistas and deflationistas appears about to rev up again, I thought that I would try to put pen to virtual paper and sketch out my thoughts on the matter. The specific catalyst for…

Retail sales have recovered to pre-recession levels, but not when adjusted for population growth. With that considered sales are only at 1999 levels and less than half of the recession's decline has been recovered.