currencies

It was about 4 weeks ago now that I said I thought the dollar rally was not a fundamental move, but a monster bear market rally which will end up hurting dollar shorts. Back then, the Euro was trading for 1.5164 dollars. Today, the Euro…

Today's news round-up will focus on articles in three subject areas: housing, the economy, and currencies. Enjoy!Top StoryHSBC says super-rich clients moving into cash - Reuters (do they know something we should know?)Global housingThe…

Baltic currencies are overvalued, which has led to hot money flows and unsustainable levels of consumption. A crash is all but inevitable. The Baltics want in to the Euro, Estonia and Lithuania in particular. They are willing to…

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard of the Telegraph in London is one of the more interesting reporters on the business scene. In today's Telegraph, he chronicles the depth and breadth of the global slowdown now taking form.However, the crux of his…

Sterling has dropped 10 days on the trot, the most in 37 years. What does that tell us? Well, it tells me that people think the BoE will be cutting rates at some point soon. The Pound was over $2.10 in October 2007. Now it trades for…

It's pretty much official now: Europe is in recession. As I predicted late last month, the Eurozone has hit stall speed with Germany now reporting a fall in GDP for the second quarter.The German economy, Europe's largest, contracted for the…

In an environment where the U.S. Dollar is rising and everything is falling, one needs to pay attention to the fine details. For me, its in the UK and its 5% base interest rate. Oil is now below $117 a barrel, so it stands to reason that…

The dollar is seeing multi-week highs against a host of major currencies. As the global economy weakens, it is increasingly evident that other economies will suffer right along with the United States and this is impacting the currency…

"The Economist" has developed the Big Mac Index as a way to determine if currencies are overvalued or undervalued. The thought is that a McDonald's Big Mac being pretty much the same everywhere around the world, one should expect the cost…

Sovereign Wealth Funds (SWFs), which played such a vital role in the recapitalization of U.S. financial institutions during the first go around, are looking to cut their U.S. exposure.Basically, the U.S. is running an extremely inflationary…