China

By Michael Pettis On August 8 Credit Suisse published a study they had commissioned by Professor Wang Xiaolu of the China Reform Foundation.  A lot of readers have asked on- and offline me to discuss this study in light of the entry I…

The dollar-yuan was fixed today at CNY6.8015 today. It closed yesterday near CNY6.7750 and was fixed yesterday at CNY6.7768. The greenback's broad rally yesterday contributed to the sharply higher fix today. Subsequently, the dollar eased…

With America's new-found trade deficits, the trade war with China will heat up again. Will it wait until after the mid-terms? Probably not because American politicians will want to convince voters that they are doing something to help with…

There has been a lot of excited press commentary recently about China’s overtaking Japan as the world’s second largest economy.  China’s GDP should be larger than Japan’s for the first time sometime this year, which in a similar…

Topic of the day: China's Housing market (no links yesterday, but a bunch today. Here is the topic of the day: China and its housing market. What we want to see is a soft landing. But irrespective of this, the question is what a soft/hard…

By John Mauldin Now let's turn to China. I received this report from Simon Hunt (who is based in London, and who makes my travel schedule look positively pedestrian). Besides being an expert on the copper market he is a serious student of…

By Marin Katusa, Casey’s Energy Opportunities Stop the presses. The United States is no longer the world’s biggest consumer of energy. After topping the energy consumption charts for more than a century, the U.S. has been left behind as…

A lot of people have asked me to write about the recently “leaked” CBRC report on dodgy local government debt.  Here is what the article in Monday’s Bloomberg had to say about it (and note especially that delicious second paragraph):…

Link of the day Inside China’s gated communities for the poor - The Globe and Mail The Usual Fare News Analysis - Afghan Deadline Is Cutting Two Ways - NYTimes.com Banks accused of 'disingenuous' capital claims - view from dc -…

By Michael Pettis Since this is another long posting, it might make sense to summarize briefly its two parts.  In the first part, expanding on an Op-Ed piece of mine published by the Wall Street Journal on Monday, I argue that…