Browsing Tag

China

Dancing with Contagion

Markets have shifted back to crisis mode amid uncertainty over Italian economic reforms. Three likely scenarios remain after Berlusconi’s upcoming departure; Italian 10-year above 7%. UK September trade data unexpectedly widened, on…

Expect a lot more trade intervention

The currency may well be undervalued, but a significant rise in the RMB, especially if it is countered domestically by an increase in credit at lower real rates, might actually make the global imbalances worse and, more worryingly, cause…

China PMI drops to lowest in 32 months

50.4 is the lowest number since early 2009, during the depths of the recession. So this number, shades above contraction, is a big deal. In fact, the sub-index for new (export) orders index is contracting, meaning slowing economic growth in…

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