bonds

Graham Secker, a well-known equity analyst at Morgan Stanley who covers U.K. equities has warned that profits for U.K companies could drop by 60%, peak to trough. This would put make this downturn even worse than the 1930s.

I was just discussing the recent revelation by the Federal Reserve's Don Kohn that the Fed has secretly been aiding the banking sector via AIG (here, here and here), when it was pointed out to me that a number of smart investors have been…

Martin Fridson is one of the best known high yield bond analysts out there. For a very long time he was the head of Merrill's high yield research group, the group that analyses the prospects of debt issued by companies with non-investment…

The overall stock market may be declining, but that does not mean there are no bargains to be had.  Witness this article about John Paulson, the famed hedge fund manager who made billions shorting stocks over the past years. Distressed…

Judging from recent events, the bond vigilantes are right to suspect that Ben Bernanke is all talk and no action when it comes to keeping long-term rates low. If you recall, I had actually believed the Fed would support bonds because it…

Goldman Sachs London conducted a poll of fund managers today that had interesting results. The poll demonstrated that fund managers are expecting deflation more than inflation and that they expect the U.S. or Asia to escape the downturn…

I just picked up two reports on California's desperate situation. California, whose legislature and Governor have been hold up in around the clock negotiations, is now issuing IOU's instead of cash. They have also been downgraded by Moody's…

Bill Gross, the founder of PIMCO and manager of the world's largest bond fund, has just released his most recent Economic Outlook. In it, he takes a tack regarding the fix to the present turmoil in the markets with which I disagree.…

Given the fact that this site is called Credit Writedowns, you would expect me to take a fairly skeptical view about the growing consensus regarding a rapid recovery in 2009. I do, in large part because I understand that banks face many…

The video below is an addendum to my post on Andrew Barry's Barron's cover story piece regarding Treasury Bonds and the growing consensus to avoid them. While I agree with the consensus about Treasury bonds being a bubble, I expect the…