Browsing Tag

bonds

The QE2 trade is now officially over

The Fed could announce a federal funds target of 3% but the tsunami of excess reserves now out there swamps any conceivable demand, so the federal funds rate would be guaranteed to remain stuck at zero. The target would be meaningless.…

Bond Market Vigilantes

This is from the blog Political Irony (hat tip UMKC). Higher consumer price inflation than we see now will probably result in demand destruction and recession before the Fed reacts. The slack in the economy would mean this becomes a…

The Seven Immutable Laws of Investing

In my previous missive I concluded that investors should stay true to the principles that have always guided (and should always guide) sensible investment, but I left readers hanging as to what I believe those principles might actually be.…

Risk Aversion Prompts Safe Haven Flows

US dollar remains firm across on the board as risk-off dominates. FOMC meeting unlikely to surprise and Empire manufacturing should remain firm, while German Zew confidence dropped to 14.1, below expectations. Growth-sensitive currencies…

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