US GDP shrinks 0.3% in Q3

I won't be able to comment here until later today when I will update this post. But I wanted to report that U.S. GDP shrank 0.3% in Q3, less than the 0.5% median forecast. Now, when it comes to government statistics like GDP, the devil's…

The experience canard

As we head into the final stretch leading up to the U.S. presidential election, I wanted to throw a thought out there about experience and judgment. I have long been of the view that natural bias toward one or the other has a lot to do…

Markets are looking very good

This morning, the markets are looking wonderful. All the Asian markets were up with the Nikkei (Japan), Kospi (S. Korea) and Hang Seng (Hong Kong) up 10%+. The European markets were way up right out of the gate. And despite bad GDP…

Links: 2008-10-29 [delicious]

Beware the unwinding of the yen carry trade - FT Worse than Japan again becoming the source of almost free money, is the chance of an even more risky dollar carry trade, writes David PillingCracks appearing in Vancouver's condo boom -…

Chart of the day: Commodities

For the second day in a row we are basking in the glow of an up market (update: or at least we were until the last 12 minutes). Everyone's happy. But, some people are happier than others. And the happiest amongst the bunch are those people…

Credit crisis timeline updates

I have not posted all day because I have been spending most of the day doing site maintenance -- importing the data from the credit crisis timeline into a database, which will make it a lot easier to update, backfill and make changes to the…

Links: 2008-10-28 [delicious]

  PJB: Obama's First 100 Days - Patrick BuchananUndeniably, a powerful tide is running for the Democratic Party, with one week left to Election Day. Bush’s approval rating is 27 percent, just above Richard Nixon’s Watergate nadir and…

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