The country’s debt dynamics are far from unsustainable at this point, but given the weakening in the country’s export performance and the steady unwinding of the housing boom we can now anticipate I would expect growth to be weaker than…
The ECB is seen to be the key protagonist and the pressure is more acute on it to act. Yet it steadfastly refuses. The other solution that has been advocated is a joint European bond. It is not going to be forthcoming any time soon. Such…
Banks can borrow as much as they want from the central for three years at the refi rate. They are limited only by their desire and collateral. The ECB also liberalized further its definition of acceptable collateral. But expectations of…
All in all, the negative fallout from the EU sovereign debt crisis and the outlook for the U.S. economy are likely to have a strong downward pull on the stock market. Rather than reflecting fear, the market seems unusually complacent as…
Through all of this hand wrangling, the Euro remains fixed at the same value as it started with in January, roughly $1.30. If open interest information from our futures markets are any valid indication, currency speculators, both commercial…
The dollar is broadly weaker as Spanish auction goes well, euro zone PMIs better than expected. SNB held policy steady with no change to EUR/CHF floor. China, Singapore data help boost sentiment; Hungary reaches deal with banks on CHF…
By cutting 50 bp in one swoop, the Norges Bank hopes to get ahead of the curve. This is part insurance against addition headwinds, but also responds to the recent data indicating an economic slowdown.
The dollar is broadly firmer as Italian yields rise at 5-year bond auction, euro zone IP falls.Swiss data weak ahead of SNB meeting tomorrow; Norges Bank seen cutting rates 25 bp. China data gives cover for more PBOC easing; RBA suggests…