ECB

After more than a year since the European debt crisis began, officials have still failed to resolve it. They raised expectations for a “grand bargain” only to crash them on the shoals of political reality. The March 24-25 Summit was to…

Rumors of a missed coupon payment in Ireland made the rounds and many now are down playing it. However, the problems in the periphery have not lessened. The real immediate focus is on Portugal. The government's new austerity measures will…

By Claus Vistesen I recently asked my readers whether the global economy is in for inflation, deflation, or stagflation. Given that it may well be all three at different points in time, it seems as if recent market action suggests that…

It appears the foreign exchange market is being driven by one overriding consideration and that is that the ECB is going to raise rates as early as next month. The debt crisis on the periphery has been ignored. Fitch cut the outlook for…

By Marc Chandler ECB President Trichet is signaling a rate hike and the market debate seems to be between April and May. While the monetary setting may be too easy for Germany, the peripheral countries, where the debt crisis has been…

By Marc Chandler Trichet has stayed true to form and issued relative hawkish signals. Two key points--"strong vigilance" is needed and no reiteration of the mantra that "interest rates are appropriate". He explicitly…

from the BBH Currency Strategy Team Highlights The US dollar is consolidating some it weekly losses versus some of the majors ahead of today’s ECB meeting and tomorrow’s jobs reports. The euro, however, maintains a firm tone as the…

Highlights The US dollar remains under pressure as the divergent outlook in monetary policy across central banks continue to underpin currency movement. The euro extended its recent gains, just ahead of the yearly high near $1.386,…

By Claus Vistesen It seems that JCT today showed that he and the ECB are not completely blind and deaf when it comes to the reality of a stronger currency in a world where everyone is scrambling to devalue. As I have noted before,…

By Claus Vistesen It would have been hard to believe only a few weeks ago that the euro zone could be the source of any good news, let alone news to help push the market forward. Yet, with last week’s successful bond auctions and the…