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Marc Chandler 872 posts 0 comments

Marc Chandler joined Brown Brothers Harriman in October 2005 as the global head of currency strategy. Previously he was the chief currency strategist for HSBC Bank USA and Mellon Bank. In addition to frequently providing insight into the developments of the day to newspapers and news wires, Chandler's essays have been published in the Financial Times, Barron's, Euromoney, Corporate Finance, and Foreign Affairs. Marc appears often on business television and is a regular guest on CNBC and writes a blog called Marc to Market. Follow him on twitter.

News

Dollar Firmer as Periphery Pressures Mount

Marc Chandler Mar 10, 2011

BBH CurrencyView Highlights The US dollar is stronger, benefitting in part from euro weakness as the sovereign debt returns to the fore and geopolitical tensions linger. The euro fell to the lowest level in a week, down three of the…

Economy

Stressing Out over European Bank Stress Tests

Marc Chandler Mar 9, 2011

By Marc Chandler The newly created European Banking Authority will be overseeing the stress tests on almost 90 European banks. Recall that the stress tests last year met broad criticism for the lack of rigor. It was anticipated that the…

Markets

Spanish Bonds Decouple From Portugal

Marc Chandler Mar 8, 2011

There have been two main surprises this year. The first is how the jasmine revolutions in MENA. It is one thing to recognize the fragility of those ancient regimes, it is another thing to watch a number of government's collapse. The second…

Economy

Notes on Japan

Marc Chandler Mar 8, 2011

By Marc Chandler The yen is largely sidelined as the market's focus is elsewhere--ECB policy trajectory, the European debt crisis, MENA, etc. This is reflected by the fact that dollar-yen volatility (implied 3-month) is sitting on its…

Political Economy

When Will Portugal Ask for Assistance

Marc Chandler Mar 7, 2011

Portugal does not appear to have had the boom that Ireland and Spain had. Portugal's problem is the chronic grind loss of competitiveness due to high costs and low productivity. We note that Portugal's latest inflation reading of 3.6% in…

Markets

Canada and Oil: More Complicated than One Might Suspect

Marc Chandler Mar 7, 2011

We have found that the correlation between oil and the Canadian dollar has collapsed. We conduct the correlation analysis on a 60-day rolling basis, using percent change. The correlation peaked at the end of last year near 0.76. It now…

News

ECB Rate Outlook Still Dominates Currency Markets

Marc Chandler Mar 7, 2011

It appears the foreign exchange market is being driven by one overriding consideration and that is that the ECB is going to raise rates as early as next month. The debt crisis on the periphery has been ignored. Fitch cut the outlook for…

Markets

Euro and Yen – Surprising Developments

Marc Chandler Mar 4, 2011

It looks so easy. Risk on and risk off. When risk trades are being put on, equity market and commodities prices, like gold and oil, rise. The euro appreciates and the yen sells off. When risk trades come off, just the opposite takes place.…

News

Trichet Hawkishness to Exacerbate Peripheral Woes

Marc Chandler Mar 3, 2011

By Marc Chandler ECB President Trichet is signaling a rate hike and the market debate seems to be between April and May. While the monetary setting may be too easy for Germany, the peripheral countries, where the debt crisis has been…

Markets

Trichet Sends Euro and Interest Rates Sharply Higher

Marc Chandler Mar 3, 2011

By Marc Chandler Trichet has stayed true to form and issued relative hawkish signals. Two key points--"strong vigilance" is needed and no reiteration of the mantra that "interest rates are appropriate". He explicitly…

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