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Marc Chandler 872 posts 0 comments
Marc Chandler joined Brown Brothers Harriman in October 2005 as the global head of currency strategy. Previously he was the chief currency strategist for HSBC Bank USA and Mellon Bank. In addition to frequently providing insight into the developments of the day to newspapers and news wires, Chandler's essays have been published in the Financial Times, Barron's, Euromoney, Corporate Finance, and Foreign Affairs. Marc appears often on business television and is a regular guest on CNBC and writes a blog called Marc to Market. Follow him on twitter.
Dollar pares back some of its gains ahead of NFP; risk appetite marginally improves
NFP is likely to surprise to the downside but a “big miss” needed for a large market move
Commodity currencies remain in focus; RBA signals potential rate…
Trichet Less Hawkish; Euro Off Sharply
Trichet's comments seem less hawkish than the market had anticipated and the euro is coming off sharply. While recognizing policy remains accommodative, he is using none of the word cues that point to a June hike. Euribor yields has fallen…
Waiting for Trichet, but Watching the Yen
Dollar stronger against most majors, but the yen is the strongest currency today, breaking 80
The ECB is meeting and Trichet’s press conference should be the key news today
BOE leaves rates unchanged as expected
ECB and Portuguese Deal Keep Euro Firm
The euro continues to surge this morning, trading ahead of $1.49, despite some US short covering against some of the majors and a mixed tone in risk appetite, buoyed by a combination of drivers. For one, many see the risk premium in the…
Odds the Euro Reaches $1.60
The euro is struggling to extend its advancing streak to the eleventh session. However, the main driver, of divergent monetary policy stances remains intact. In fact, news today that 3-month Euribor is at 2-year highs and 3-month Libor was…
Catalysts for Change in the FX Driver
The main driver that has led to a persistent decline in the US dollar through the last several months is the divergent thrust of monetary policy. It has left the Federal Reserve as a laggard in the global cycle and, in turn, has left the…
Is The EMU Debt Crisis Morphing into a Euro Positive Force?
We argue that a key driver lifting the euro has been the divergent monetary policies of the Federal Reserve and the ECB.
Thinking about Haircuts
What a cruel month April has been to the peripheral debt markets. Greek 10-year yields have risen 349 bp, more than the cumulative increase over the previous 11 months. Portugal's 10-year yield has risen 180 bp this month and 190 bp over…
Meet the Press, Mr. Bernanke
The US dollar continued to weaken for the seventh consecutive day, with the dollar index hitting its lowest level since August 2008, ahead of the today’s FOMC meeting. In our view the Fed is likely to reaffirm its ultra-accommodative…
FOMC Preview: Bernanke’s press conference has the potential to be disruptive
Whatever thunder the FOMC meeting usually has is being stolen this week by the first of Bernanke's press conference tomorrow. In fairness, the FOMC's statement is unlikely to change substantively from the mid-March statement. The press…