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Author
Marc Chandler 872 posts 0 comments
Marc Chandler joined Brown Brothers Harriman in October 2005 as the global head of currency strategy. Previously he was the chief currency strategist for HSBC Bank USA and Mellon Bank. In addition to frequently providing insight into the developments of the day to newspapers and news wires, Chandler's essays have been published in the Financial Times, Barron's, Euromoney, Corporate Finance, and Foreign Affairs. Marc appears often on business television and is a regular guest on CNBC and writes a blog called Marc to Market. Follow him on twitter.
The main tension in the foreign exchange market is between positions adjusting pressures, which are US dollar negative, and widely held ideas that the trajectory of growth and interest rate differentials favor the US, which is dollar…
Yen Bid Ahead of BOJ Decision
By Marc Chandler
The Reserve Bank of Australia delivered the 25 bp rate cut that was widely expected earlier this week. Today, the Bank of England provided a new framework for its forward guidance, linking monetary policy to unemployment…
Mario Draghi repeats ECB’s forward guidance
By Marc Chandler
Today, ECB President Draghi essentially repeated his comments from last month. The key is that rates will remain at current levels or lower for an extended period and, although the economy is gradually recovering, growth…
Fed Statement Similar, No Talk of Tapering
With many observers expecting the Fed to taper in September, disappointment that there was nothing in the statement to support such ideas has seen the dollar fall and the stocks and bonds traded higher.
Why the US and European Auto Sectors Continue to Diverge
The contrast between the US and European auto markets is stark and captures the significant divergence of the two economies. June auto sales in Europe slumped from a year ago to their lowest level since 1996. In June, US auto sales reached…
Bernanke’s comments suggest tapering will come later
The Federal Reserve delivered a one-two punch to market expectations today. First the FOMC minutes did not appear as hawkish as many expected. Several FOMC members wanted to see more job growth before pulling back on the throttle. Second,…
Currencies: Positioning and Technical Outlook as Dollar Rides High
Fundamental and technical considerations are aligned in favor of the US dollar. The latest string of economic data, including the June employment report, is strengthening the market's conviction that the Federal Reserve will begin tapering…
Draghi breaks new ground, Euro breaks a cent
By Marc Chandler
The ECB took an unprecedented step today. Part of its mantra has been that it does not pre-commit. Today it did. It indicated interest rates will be the same or lower for an extended period of time. Draghi, when pressed,…
Ten Big Issues Affecting Global Markets
By Marc Chandler
The dollar is the king of castle, extending yesterday's post-Fed rally across the board. Emerging market currencies have been particularly hard hit and we note that the Turkish lira is at new record lows. Asset markets…
Bad loans continue to rise in Spain and Italy
Spain and Italy reported today that the share of bad loans have continued to rise. There is nothing to suggest that this is the peak. In fact, further deterioration is likely.