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Edward Hugh 152 posts 0 comments

Ed was a macro economist based in Barcelona, who specialized in growth and productivity theory, demographic processes and their impact on macro performance, and the underlying dynamics of migration flows.

He was a lovely person and a prolific blogger in his time. Ed’s analyses can be found on his “Don’t Shoot the Messenger” blog on www.economonitor.com, at the India Economy Blog, A Fistful of Euros, Global Economy Matters and Demography Matters. He was a founding member of all these weblogs.

Economy

Serious Problems Emerge For The F-UK-DE Group of Countries

Edward Hugh Mar 15, 2010

Well, I for one can’t help thinking that it’s now well time we all stopped getting carried away with the use of so many acronyms. Not only may one man’s meat easily prove to be another’s poison, it may even be that for some the entire meal…

Economy

German Exports and that Looming Double Dip

Edward Hugh Mar 11, 2010

I hadn’t seen an advance release of the January German export data, when I wrote the following on Tuesday, honest injun I hadn’t: Well, this is only a hypothesis. But if the hypothesis has any validity we should be able to make some…

Economy

The German Economy Is Essentially "Intact"

Edward Hugh Mar 9, 2010

According to Bundesbank President Axel Weber, Germany’s economic recovery is “essentially intact”, and is now set to benefit from stronger demand in countries outside the euro region. “I firmly believe that the recovery process that…

Political Economy

Hanging In The Balance Over At The ECB

Edward Hugh Mar 3, 2010

This is a post by Edward Hugh, who also blogs at Global Economy Matters. In the time of my confession, in the hour of my deepest need When the pool of tears beneath my feet flood every newborn seed There’s a dyin’ voice…

Economy

Just what is going on in Sweden?

Edward Hugh Mar 1, 2010

This is a post by Edward Hugh, who also blogs at Global Economy Matters. According to data released today from the Swedish statistical office Sweden unexpectedly fell back into recession in the fourth quarter, adding to the impression…

Economy

The "Three Speed" global manufacturing recovery continues in February

Edward Hugh Mar 1, 2010

This is a post by Edward Hugh, who also blogs at Global Economy Matters. Global manufacturing activity continued to expand in February, albeit at a slightly weaker pace than in January. At 55.2, down slightly from 56.1 in January, the…

Economy

Too Soon To Cry “Victory” On Latvia?

Edward Hugh Feb 26, 2010

This post was originally published at A Fistful of Euros. “Doom-mongers” - the Economist tells us - “are licking their wounds”. And why exactly are they licking their wounds? Well for two years now (apparently) they have been telling us…

Economy

Just what is the real level of government debt in Europe?

Edward Hugh Feb 14, 2010

This is a post by Edward Hugh, who also blogs at Global Economy Matters. “If you don’t fully understand an instrument, don’t buy it.” To the above advice from Emilio Botín, Executive Chairman of Spain’s Grupo Santander, I would simply…

Economy

Few Surprises As Greece’s Economic Contraction Accelerates

Edward Hugh Feb 14, 2010

Edward Hugh here. Well, I may say there were no surprises, but in fact the Greek economy contracted more than many observers expected in the fourth quarter, while downward revisions to the rest of 2009 converted the present recession into…

Economy

The Italian economy contracts again in Q4 2009

Edward Hugh Feb 12, 2010

Well, it isn’t only my German economy Q4 call, or my Japanese economy one which look OK right now, this Italian one also now seems very much to the point. In fact, as I suspected it might, the Italian economy went back into contraction…