Why The Stock Market Is Vulnerable

by Comstock Partners In our view the market, at current levels, is highly vulnerable to a major downturn as a result of negative fundamentals and high valuations. Following is a summary of important factors likely to impact stocks in the…

Why Bernanke Is Gambling

by Comstock Partners In starting a second round of quantitative easing (QE2), the Fed is gambling on a program that has little potential upside and a substantial amount of risk. In the first round (QE1) the Fed bought $1.7 trillion of…

The Problem With QE2

by Comstock Partners Economic growth remains extremely subdued and a double dip is still a strong possibility. In the first 4 quarters of the current recovery ended June 30th, GDP increased at a rate of 3% annualized, compared to an…

Market Is Facing Major Headwinds

by Comstock Partners The current market rally is not based on a self-sustained typical economic recovery, but on blind faith that the Fed can pull out a magic wand and cure everything with another round of quantitative easing (QE2). As we…

The Fed’s Great Experiment

by Comstock Partners For the third time in a little more than ten years Wall Street has embraced a dubious narrative to drive the market higher in the face of crumbling fundamentals. In early 2000 the conventional wisdom discarded over a…

Market Is Out On A Limb

by Comstock Partners The stock market rally is on shaky ground and severely overextended. It is being propelled by a combination of momentum-oriented trading strategies and dubious fundamental assumptions. The traders have no real…

More On The ECRI Leading Indicator

by Comstock Partners Last week, toward the end of our comment on consumer deleveraging, we mentioned that the year-over-year change in the ECRI Weekly Leading Indicator had strongly suggested the distinct possibility of recession. In…

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