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Credit Writedowns

Goodbye to Credit Writedowns

Risks to growth and inflation helping keep long rates down

What’s your model on how real GDP grows durably?

Monetary and fiscal space will be very limited in the next US downturn

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The next emerging markets crisis is now: Turkey as a canary in the coalmine

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Update on the US jobs data

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Currencies to own as recession takes hold

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Merkel called her Interior Minister’s bluff aka Germany is more stable than people think

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Playing the yield curve

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GDPNow still near 4%, showing Q2 likely to be a monster quarter

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Unilateral German action on the border is a game changer in Europe

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The politics of the German refugee crisis

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A brief note on the political crisis at the Fed

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