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2018
Jobs number puts four hikes on the table. Watch for QT increase and curve flattening
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Tariffs could result in a global recession
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Jobless claims are still pointing to US expansion
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Why the Italian crisis won’t see Italy leave the euro just yet
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No, the Fed hasn’t lost control of overnight rates. Zoltan Pozsar is wrong.
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Service sector job growth peaked almost two years ago
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Since job gains peak mid-cycle, don’t expect the jobs report to throw the Fed off course
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More on why Italy is not yet a threat to the economy or markets
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The US corporate tax cut debate
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Calling bullsh$t on the concept that Italy isn’t a victim of the euro
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