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United States
A breakdown of the post-war global Western alliance
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US economic outlook mixed as manufacturing continues to slow
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The US economy is doing fine and the jobs picture is good
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Why my base case for 2020 is recession
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A variety of pre-FOMC thoughts on the economy
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US GDP report puts nail in the coffin for the recession story
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Dreams of a Second Half Recovery
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The Downside Risk to the Mid-2019 Macroeconomy
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The Mid-2019 Macroeconomy
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More negative signals, this time from the economy
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